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Is Bitcoin Headed for $50K—or Gearing Up for $100K?

Bitcoin’s failure to reclaim $85K raises fears of a deeper correction, with analysts split between bearish macro signals and bullish long-term indicators.

• Main Points:

  • BTC struggles near $85K, risking drop to 200-week average at $46K.

  • Gold hits all-time high, pulling capital away from crypto.

  • ETFs show divergence, with gold seeing inflows, BTC outflows.

  • Short-term holders suffer losses, while long-term holders hold steady.

  • PlanB still bullish, citing historic pre-halving patterns and indicators.

• Detailed Insights:

  • BTC up 14.6% after April dip, but faces stiff $85K resistance.

  • Gold surges 19% YTD, seen as safer play amid trade war fears.

  • Bitcoin ETFs lost $12.38B, while gold ETFs gained $27.1B in 2025.

  • Short-term holders (STH) show losses akin to early bear markets.

  • Long-term holders (LTH) remain profitable—key to avoiding capitulation.

  • PlanB’s S2F model suggests BTC is still in bull phase.

  • Red-dot phase active, historically linked to strong post-halving rallies.

Related: Gloomy U.S. Data Pressures Bitcoin — Will $83K Hold the Line?

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Michael Saylor: “Bitcoin Is the Investment Idea of the Century”

Michael Saylor reaffirms Bitcoin’s unique position as a digital, inflation-proof asset, calling it the cornerstone of the 21st century’s economic transformation.

• Main Points:

  • Bitcoin is digital capital, immune to inflation and geopolitical risks.

  • Fixed supply of 21M coins makes BTC digitally scarce and deflationary.

  • Saylor calls BTC “pure economic energy”, outclassing traditional assets.

  • “21 Truths of Bitcoin” list outlines Bitcoin’s ideological foundation.

  • BTC adoption rising, driven by institutional momentum and digitalization.

• Detailed Insights:

  • Bitcoin mirrors land, but borderless, permissionless, and indestructible.

  • BTC vs. traditional assets: less regulation, more resilience.

  • Volatility = design, not a flaw—part of Bitcoin’s long-term value.

  • BTC seen as hedge, offering protection from fiat dilution and state control.

  • Saylor warns skeptics: ignoring Bitcoin invites future economic hardship.

  • Institutional buy-in growing, as BTC becomes core to investment strategy.

Related: Whales Scoop 300% of BTC Supply — Is $100K on Deck?

El Salvador’s Bitcoin Bet Fizzles Out

El Salvador’s ambitious Bitcoin experiment is faltering, with most registered crypto companies no longer operating due to regulatory hurdles, low adoption, and unclear enforcement.

• Main Points:

  • 161 of 181 firms inactive, per Central Reserve Bank data.

  • Only 20 providers operational, including the state-backed Chivo Wallet.

  • Regulatory gaps and high compliance costs blamed for the slowdown.

  • IMF pressure softened enforcement, removing BTC’s mandatory status.

  • Bukele still buying Bitcoin, but use cases remain limited on the ground.

• Detailed Insights:

  • Article 4 compliance lacking, including AML and cybersecurity protocols.

  • Chivo Wallet underused, despite a $30 BTC sign-up incentive.

  • IMF flagged financial risks, urged BTC to lose legal tender status.

  • Law scaled back quietly, firms no longer forced to accept Bitcoin.

  • Bukele claims BTC holdings up, but transparency remains an issue.

  • Volcano Bonds delayed, with little real traction from new initiatives.

  • Business environment mismatch, legal ambitions outpace infrastructure.

  • Crypto enthusiasm fades, as firms face adoption and regulation gaps.

Related: Adam Back Resurfaces 2013 Bitcoin Post — Is It Still Early?

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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results