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How Tariffs Could Impact Bitcoin — Directly and Indirectly

Bitcoin isn’t directly exposed to tariffs but could still face pressure from a broader economic downturn. Long-term holders may need patience.

What we will talk about today...

McGlone Warns Bitcoin Could "Lose a Zero" Amid Risk Asset Reset

Crypto Braces for Possible ‘Black Monday,’ Warns Arthur Hayes

How Tariffs Could Impact Bitcoin — Directly and Indirectly

McGlone Warns Bitcoin Could "Lose a Zero" Amid Risk Asset Reset

Bloomberg's Mike McGlone compares Bitcoin’s rise to the dot-com bubble, suggesting it may lead the correction of overheated risk assets.

  • Main Points:

    • Bold Prediction: McGlone says Bitcoin could “lose a zero” in major drawdown.

    • Historical Parallel: Compares BTC’s surge to Nasdaq’s 2000 tech bubble peak.

    • Risk Cycle Peak: Sees BTC as leader of historic risk-on rally now peaking.

    • Market Divergence: BTC stayed flat while Nasdaq dropped 6% in one day.

    • Safe Haven Debate: Gold and Bitcoin both tested during current market stress.

  • Detailed Insights:

    • Speculative Bubble: BTC may mirror past asset manias, says McGlone.

    • Timing Matters: BTC emerged post-2008, could now signal another cycle end.

    • Stock Shakeout: $6.6T wiped from U.S. markets amid global tariff fears.

    • Gold Falls Too: Traditional safe haven also dropped, highlighting volatility.

    • BTC Holding Steady: Stability could fuel narrative shift to "digital safe haven."

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Crypto Braces for Possible ‘Black Monday,’ Warns Arthur Hayes

Former BitMex CEO Arthur Hayes warns Bitcoin could face a dramatic downturn as market tension builds ahead of Monday's U.S. futures open.

  • Main Points:

    • Black Monday Fears: Crypto markets jittery ahead of April 7 U.S. open.

    • Arthur Hayes Alerts: All eyes on 6 p.m. GMT as S&P 500 futures launch.

    • Weekend Calm: Bitcoin remained flat, offering no direction for Monday.

    • Global Timing: Asia’s reaction to U.S. opening could set BTC’s tone.

    • Historical Echoes: Comparison drawn to March 2020 and 1987 crashes.

  • Detailed Insights:

    • Fog of War: Hayes says uncertainty clouds short-term Bitcoin outlook.

    • BTC in Limbo: Market lacks weekend signals ahead of volatility window.

    • Macro Pressure: Tariffs and inflation fears amplify systemic risk.

    • Futures Watch: Monday’s S&P 500 open may trigger crypto reaction.

    • Crisis Potential: Not all crashes last—but some mark major turning points.

₿itcoin reached $82,517. -0.12%

♢Ethereum reached $1,760.  -1.31%

How Tariffs Could Impact Bitcoin — Directly and Indirectly

Bitcoin isn’t directly exposed to tariffs but could still face pressure from a broader economic downturn. Long-term holders may need patience.

  • Main Points:

    • Tariffs Hit Markets: Bitcoin dropped 5.4% as new trade policy rattled investors.

    • No Direct Threat: BTC isn’t used in global trade payments or tariff targets.

    • Mining Costs May Rise: U.S. miners could face higher hardware import prices.

    • Indirect Risks Loom: Recession fears and sell-offs could weigh on BTC.

    • Long-Term View Needed: Bitcoin remains scarce but may see near-term pain.

  • Detailed Insights:

    • Not Tariffed: Bitcoin isn’t taxed or banned under current trade actions.

    • Mining Squeeze: Hardware price hikes may reduce new coin production.

    • Decoupled... for Now: BTC may still fall with stocks despite safe-haven hopes.

    • Sell Pressure Risk: Recession could force holders to liquidate BTC.

    • Hold to Win: Patience key—scarcity remains Bitcoin’s strongest long-term trait.

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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results