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  • Crypto traders face a fragile year end, with Bitcoin seasonality, ETH weakness and XRP ETF bets all in play.

Crypto traders face a fragile year end, with Bitcoin seasonality, ETH weakness and XRP ETF bets all in play.

Retail flows, whale positioning and new ETFs shape December risk in crypto. Your edge comes from tracking real data, not holiday stories.

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What we will talk about today...

Retail And Whales Shape The Crypto Santa Rally

Ether Drops Below 3,000 Dollars As Trend Strength Fades

XRP Traders Pin Next Rally On New Spot ETF Launches

Retail And Whales Shape The Crypto Santa Rally

December often brings fast moves in Bitcoin and altcoins. Holiday slowdowns shift power between small traders and large players.

  • [Retail flow spikes]: Institutional desks slow during late December, so smaller crypto orders move prices more than usual.

  • [Whales still decide size]: ETFs, funds and market makers rebalance at year end, and large orders set the ceiling and floor for Bitcoin and majors.

  • [Key signals to track]: Watch ETF flows, perpetual funding, options positioning, search trends and onchain wallet activity through the last week of December and first days of January.

“Crypto never sleeps.”

“Retail creates the story and initial momentum. Whales provide the capital that extends or reverses the move.”

Ether Drops Below 3,000 Dollars As Trend Strength Fades

ETH trades near a four month low after a sharp drawdown from the August peak. Traders question trend strength while macro stress and weak onchain data weigh on price.

  • [Price pressure]: ETH trades near 3,100 dollars, around 40 percent below the 4,956 dollar all time high from August.

  • [Onchain slowdown]: Ethereum TVL fell to 74 billion dollars and DEX volume dropped about 27 percent in a month, which signals softer demand for block space.

  • [Macro headwind]: Concerns over growth, tariffs, US fiscal stress and AI sector costs push traders toward lower risk, and ETH trades in line with broader altcoin weakness.

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“Ethereum still leads in deposits and real world asset tokenization, but recent data shows softer demand at the base layer.”

“Without fresh liquidity and lower macro stress, ETH price action stays tied to broad risk sentiment.”

XRP Traders Pin Next Rally On New Spot ETF Launches

XRP holds near key support while traders focus on a cluster of new US spot ETFs. Institutional inflows and the 2.20 dollar level guide the next move.

  • [ETF pipeline]: Four spot XRP ETFs start trading on major US exchanges this week, with three more expected over the next 21 days.

  • [Flows so far]: Canary Capital XRPC logged 58 million dollars in first day volume and 245 million dollars in early inflows, outpacing other 2025 crypto ETF launches.

  • [Key level]: Bulls want XRP to hold above 2.20 dollars, with upside targets near 2.34 to 2.41 dollars first, then around 2.60 dollars if momentum improves.

“XRP is consolidating above 2 dollars in a pennant, signaling a potential bottom.”

“A breakout above 2.62 dollars turns the setup bullish, while a close below 2 dollars invalidates the pattern.”

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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results