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Crypto signals split as charts, whales and Wall Street clash

Bitcoin trades in a choppy range while stocks, ETFs and onchain data send mixed messages. You watch levels, flows and macro moves to place risk.

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What we will talk about today...

MSTR flashes rare bullish pattern after 66 percent drop

XRP holds 2.15 dollars as whales add more

Kevin O’Leary doubts Fed cut, expects tight Bitcoin range

Larry Fink admits past Bitcoin miss as BlackRock ETF hits 70 billion

MSTR flashes rare bullish pattern after 66 percent drop

Strategy stock MSTR shows an Abandoned Baby reversal after a heavy slide. Traders now watch for a sharp rebound.

  • [Rare signal]: Abandoned Baby on the daily chart follows months of selling, traders treat this as a strong reversal clue.

  • [Bitcoin link]: MSTR bounced about 22 percent from 155.61 dollars as Bitcoin recovered and odds of a December rate cut increased.

  • [Upside levels]: Traders target 200 and 280 dollars as next resistance zones.

“Risk to reward now leans heavily to the upside,” said options trader Brando.

XRP holds 2.15 dollars as whales add more

XRP is up 12 percent from below 2 dollars and trades back above key support near 2.15.

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  • [High velocity]: Ledger velocity hit 0.0324, a yearly high which signals frequent use in onchain transactions.

  • [Whale demand]: Spot average order size stayed high for 30 days, signaling steady whale presence on exchanges.

  • [Supply drain]: Exchange balances fell to 2.7 billion XRP, a seven year low, pointing to long term accumulation.

“Such a surge signals high liquidity and strong trader involvement,” said CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain.

Kevin O’Leary doubts Fed cut, expects tight Bitcoin range

Kevin O’Leary rejects a December Fed cut and expects Bitcoin to trade in a narrow band around the current price.

  • [Rate view]: He points to 3 percent inflation and higher input costs as reasons for steady policy.

  • [Price path]: O’Leary expects Bitcoin to drift within 5 percent of the current level, so you plan for range trades instead of breakouts.

  • [Market odds]: CME FedWatch shows roughly 89 percent odds for a cut, up from 33% in mid November.

“I do not think the decision will make a difference to Bitcoin,” O’Leary said. “Price likely stays within about 5 percent of here.”

Larry Fink admits past Bitcoin miss as BlackRock ETF hits 70 billion

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink moved from 2017 critic to leader of a 70 billion dollar Bitcoin ETF.

  • [View shift]: Fink once tied Bitcoin to money laundering, now IBIT stands as the largest spot Bitcoin ETF.

  • [Asset of fear]: Fink calls Bitcoin “an asset of fear”, linking recent weakness to easing global tensions.

  • [ETF flows]: IBIT saw 2.3 billion dollars in November outflows yet still leads peers such as Grayscale, Fidelity and ARK 21Shares.

“My opinions evolve with evidence,” Fink said. “Tokenization of assets will drive major change in finance over coming decades.”

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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results