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Crypto Market Down: Outflows and Policy Headwinds
Investor sentiment has soured as the crypto market falls 14.7% in seven days to $2.7 trillion. Trump’s policy warnings and persistent fund outflows are weighing on key cryptocurrencies.
Joe G & Money Talks
March 10, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes
What we will talk about today...
Crypto Market Down: Outflows and Policy Headwinds
Strategy’s Bitcoin Profit Soars Despite Market Downturn
Monte Carlo Model: Bitcoin’s $713K Peak Forecast
Investor sentiment has soured as the crypto market falls 14.7% in seven days to $2.7 trillion. Trump’s policy warnings and persistent fund outflows are weighing on key cryptocurrencies.
TRUMP: “There could be a little disruption. You can't really watch the stock market. If you look at China, they have a 100-year perspective… we go by quarters. What we’re doing is building a foundation for the future.”
Trump 2.0 is very different.
He’s Volcker-ing™️ himself.— Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital)
6:17 PM • Mar 9, 2025
Main Points:
President Trump warns of short-term economic pain from his policies.
Crypto funds see fourth consecutive week of significant capital outflows.
Derivatives liquidations hit $650 million, intensifying market pressure.
Major coins like BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP record notable declines.
TOTAL market cap drops toward a descending triangle support target.
Detailed Insights:
Trump warns his policies may cause significant short-term market disruptions.
Crypto funds report fourth consecutive week outflows, totaling $876 million.
Derivatives liquidations surge to $650 million, intensifying bearish market momentum.
BTC and ETH experience heavy liquidations, accelerating price supply declines.
Total market cap drops below descending triangle target at $2.6 trillion.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index plummets, indicating extreme market panic.
Key support levels may dictate next downside target if selling persists.
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Strategy’s Bitcoin Profit Soars Despite Market Downturn
Despite a 13.6% Bitcoin drop, Michael Saylor’s Strategy holds nearly 500K BTC, maintaining over $7B in profit through disciplined dollar-cost averaging.
Main Points:
Strategy holds 499,096 BTC at an average of $66,423 each.
Bitcoin’s 13.6% weekly drop hasn’t dented Strategy’s overall profit.
BTC holdings valued at $41.2B yield a 24% unrealized gain.
Dollar-cost averaging underpins Strategy’s resilient investment approach.
Competitors face losses, highlighting Strategy’s superior Bitcoin strategy.
Detailed Insights:
Despite market downturn, Strategy’s Bitcoin profits remain robust, exceeding $7.8B.
BTC’s 13.6% drop did not significantly hurt long-term profit margins.
Strategy’s disciplined purchases consistently ensure a strong position amid volatility.
Total BTC purchases valued at $33.1B yield major unrealized gains.
Recent additional acquisitions show minor losses; overall profit remains robust.
Other key competitors like Semler Scientific face significant BTC losses.
₿itcoin reached $80,314. -3.71%
♢Ethereum reached $2,020. -4.44%
A Monte Carlo simulation forecasts Bitcoin could peak at $713K by September 2025, with a mean target of $258K despite current technical weaknesses.
📈#Bitcoin surrounded by liquidity 🚀
That 87K level and the weekend highs / CME Gap looks quite juicy if the Bulls can pull off a bigger squeeze before US open.
⚠️ Lose the weekly open at ~80K and there is a gap down to low 70K's.
— AlphaBTC (@mark_cullen)
4:43 AM • Mar 10, 2025
Main Points:
Bitcoin closed at $80,688 on March 9, its lowest since November 2024.
BTC dropped below its 200-day EMA, signaling high time frame weakness.
A Monte Carlo simulation projects Bitcoin’s mean price at $258K by September 2025.
Forecasted range spans from $51K (5th percentile) to $713K (95th percentile).
Model leverages Geometric Brownian Motion to account for Bitcoin’s volatility.
A fresh $3K CME gap may prompt a short-term corrective squeeze.
Detailed Insights:
Monte Carlo simulation projects Bitcoin’s mean price at $258K by September.
Forecast spans from $51K to $713K, capturing Bitcoin’s inherent volatility.
BTC’s recent drop below the 200-day EMA signals ongoing market weakness.
Technical analysis highlights a $3K CME gap likely to be filled.
Simulation employs Geometric Brownian Motion for robust, variable price forecasting.
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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results