Why are BTC traders bearish above $65K?

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₿itcoin reached $65,145. +3.82%

♢Ethereum reached $3,509. +1.40%

What we will talk about today...

🐂🚀 Why Bitcoin Is at a Key Point

🌐🌎 Why BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Is Bigger Than Silver Trust

💰🔥 Why Binance Says No to $10 Billion Fine

Why Bitcoin Is at a Key Point

As Bitcoin stays near the $65,000 mark, traders and analysts are watching the changes, wondering if the current rise will keep going or if there will be a drop. The week starts with Bitcoin ready to reach new highs, showing the big changes seen in February. But, a series of factors, including the U.S. Federal Reserve’s guidance, Bitcoin’s closeness to all-time highs, and more market feeling, make this a key point in the current BTC price cycle.

📈 Getting Close to the All-Time High Zone

Bitcoin started the week with a rise, reaching $64,282 on Bitstamp and now trading near $65,000. With only $5,000 between bulls and new all-time highs, Bitcoin’s year-to-date gains are more than 50%, marking a strong start to 2024. On-chain data confirm the rise mood, with CoinGlass saying that Bitcoin is close to a key all-time high zone.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart.

🐂 Different Market Feeling

Traders and analysts are split between hope and doubt, with calls for both big upward movements and big corrections.

BTC/USD monthly returns

Some see a possible “cup and handle” pattern forming at all-time highs, suggesting a drop to as low as $40,000. Others stress the chance for Bitcoin to rise to old all-time highs, correcting to shake out both bears and bulls, keeping a range until Q4 2024.

BTC/USD chart with “cup and handle” shown

📊 Market Cap’s Answer to Hot Derivatives

Worries about hot markets are with some of the highest funding rates ever, going over 0.1% on some platforms. But, an analysis shows that when looking at Bitcoin’s bigger market cap, open interest stays at historical averages. Bitcoin’s open interest in value is now at 2.25%, suggesting there is room for more growth in this measure.

🔍 Careful Views on Market “Froth”

Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, warns against the recent market excitement, stressing the chance for “froth” to stay for 2-3 weeks before a correction. Edwards, while not negative in the long term, shows the importance of risk management in the current market conditions, where changes increase a lot.

Edwards X post suggesting a possible correction in the price of BTC.

🏦 Fed’s Effect on Market Changes

The U.S. Federal Reserve, especially Chair Jerome Powell, will speak to Congress, giving views on the state of the economy. Powell is expected to keep a “hawkish stance,” showing that the Fed is not in a hurry to cut rates. The result of this speech could affect risk assets, including crypto, with rate cut hopes playing a role in market performance.

Fed target rate probabilities

😨 More Feeling and Possible Changes

Feeling signs, including the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, show extreme greed, reaching many-year highs. This level of feeling usually comes before market changes. Research firms also see more focus on price-related talks, suggesting that markets might stay the same for a bit as attention grows around all-time highs.

📆 Coming Big Events and Possible Market Answers

With big events, including the Fed’s speech and nonfarm payrolls data, planned in the coming days, the crypto market is ready for possible changes before the important March Fed meeting.

As Bitcoin gets to a key point, the cryptocurrency community waits for the coming events with a mix of excitement and caution. The feeling, market changes, and outside factors will play important roles in deciding if Bitcoin keeps its rise way or experiences a bigger drop.

Crypto keyword frequency data.

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Why BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Is Bigger Than Silver Trust

In a big development in the commodity ETF space, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF has gone over the biggest silver trust, showing a big change in investor plans. The rise of Bitcoin ETFs shows a changing dynamic in the investment landscape, with digital assets competing with traditional commodities and getting more attention from big investors.

🚀 BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF Reaches $10.03 Billion AUM

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF has reached an important goal by getting an asset under management (AUM) of $10.03 billion. This achievement shows the growing big adoption of Bitcoin as a good and profitable asset class. The ETF’s year-to-date performance, with a big 35.2% gain, shows investor trust in the long-term growth of Bitcoin.

📈 Bitcoin ETFs Changing Commodity ETF Rankings

Bitcoin ETFs are quickly going up the ranks among commodity ETFs, going over traditional commodities like silver and getting ready to challenge gold trusts. This change shows an evolution in the investment landscape, showing the more interest of investors in digital assets.

🌐 Fidelity’s WiseOrigin Bitcoin ETF Follows Close

Following close behind BlackRock’s iShares BTC ETF is Fidelity’s WiseOrigin Bitcoin ETF, with an AUM of $6.55 billion. With a year-to-date gain the same as BlackRock’s ETF at 35.2%, Fidelity’s offering makes the position of Bitcoin ETFs stronger in the commodity ETF space.

💡 Bitcoin ETFs Doing Better Than Traditional Commodities

The rise of Bitcoin ETFs has led to a change of the commodity ETF leaderboard, moving silver trusts down. Notably, the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) now ranks lower with an AUM of $9.626 billion, showing a 4.8% drop on a year-to-date scale. This change shows the changing dynamics of the investment landscpe, with digital assets getting more attention with traditional commodities.

🔄 Challenges for Traditional Commodities

While Bitcoin ETFs grow a lot, traditional commodities like gold face more competition for investor attention. Big entities like the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust and Invesco Diversified Commodity Strategy now follow behind Bitcoin ETFs in terms of investor interest. This change shows the need for traditional commodity markets to change to new investor choices and market changes.

🌍 Effects on the Investment Landscape

The quick rise of Bitcoin ETFs shows a deep change in the investment landscape. Digital assets are becoming normal investment options with traditional commodities. As big interest in Bitcoin grows, ETFs give investors a safe and easy way to make money from the growth of cryptocurrencies. With Bitcoin ETFs doing better than traditional commodities in terms of investor money and AUM, the investment landscape is ready for more change in the years to come.

Why Binance Says No to $10 Billion Fine from Nigeria

In a big change of events, Binance, a big cryptocurrency exchange, strongly denies claims made by a Nigerian government official about a $10 billion fine. Even though it is talking with the Nigerian government to fix issues related to its partner’s activities, Binance says it wants to have a good relationship while saying no to pressure for the release of detained executives.

🚫 Saying No to the $10 Billion Fine

Binance clearly says no to the claim made by a Nigerian government official, saying that it has not been asked to pay a $10 billion fine. A Binance official who did not give their name said they are talking with the Nigerian government but said that the cryptocurrency exchange would not give in to force.

⚖️ Talking and Detained Executives

The no comes quickly after Bayo Onanuga, a Nigerian presidential adviser, said the $10 billion fine and sanctions by the government in public. Binance says it is talking with the Nigerian government to fix issues about its partner. Two top Binance executives were held when they came to Nigeria, making more tension between the cryptocurrency exchange and Nigerian officials.

🤝 Wanting Good Relations

Binance stresses its want to have a good relationship with the Nigerian government and says it wants to see its services back in the country. But, the exchange makes it clear that it does not want to agree to fines for people or services.

🔄 Different Statements and Taking Back

Bayo Onanuga, the presidential adviser, takes back his first claim of a $10 billion fine, blaming the media for changing his statement to the BBC. Binance shows its position that it will not be forced to pay fines, stressing its goal to have a good working relationship.

🔍 Detained Executives Help

Onanuga says no to reports saying that the detained Binance executives were forced to give the names of Nigerian users. According to him, the executives helped the government to give information, though the report does not say their current holding status.

🌐 Going Through Hard Waters

As Binance deals with more looking from Nigerian authorities, the cryptocurrency exchange stresses its want to talk and fix. The changing situation shows the hard parts of the relationship between cryptocurrency platforms and government bodies, stressing the need for good talking to make sure a good rule environment.

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