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Bitcoin’s Rise - A Potential Correction Ahead?

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What we will talk about today...

📈🚀 Bitcoin’s Rise - A Potential Correction Ahead?

🚀📈 Jamie Dimon’s Bitcoin Views

📈🚀 Unraveling XRP’s Rise - Factors Behind the Rally

Bitcoin’s Rise - A Potential Correction Ahead?

Bitcoin’s price has been soaring, hitting an all-time high of $72,800 on March 11. This has led to discussions about a possible correction due to overvaluation concerns.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

💹 Price Movement Summary

Bitcoin’s price has increased by 5.7% from its opening at $69,032, reaching a new high. This significant rise has sparked talks of a potential sell-off.

🔍 Three Indicators Suggesting a Correction

  1. TD Sequential Indicator: Analyst Ali has pointed out a potential reversal, as the TD sequential indicator has shown a sell signal on Bitcoin’s 12-hour chart. Historically, every time this indicator signaled selling since early February, Bitcoin’s price saw declines of 1.6% to 3.5%.

  2. Market Overheating: Bitcoin’s continuous rise since January 23 has drawn massive capital inflows, especially after the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, CryptoQuant analysts warn that the market shows signs of overheating. Metrics like “extremely overpaid” miners and traders’ unrealized profit margins reaching 57% raise correction concerns.

    CryptoQuant BTC market cycle indicator. Source: CryptoQuant/X

  3. Overbought RSI Conditions: Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows overbought conditions across multiple timeframes. Coinglass’s heatmap reveals high RSI values, suggesting a potential correction as market sentiment reaches extreme levels of greed.

📊 Crypto Fear and Greed Index

Alternative’s tracking shows an extreme greed level, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index at 82. Historically, such high levels have been linked to impending corrections.

🚨 Risk Management in a Volatile Market

While these metrics suggest caution, it’s important to note that high RSI values alone don’t guarantee a trend reversal. Given the crypto market’s volatility, Bitcoin could continue its rally, driven by increasing demand and the upcoming supply halving.

Crypto market RSI heatmap. Source: Coinglass

As the crypto community navigates these signals, a balance between excitement and caution shapes Bitcoin’s ongoing journey. 📈🔍

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Jamie Dimon’s Bitcoin Views

Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase’s CEO, is known for his anti-Bitcoin stance. He has stated that he will never buy Bitcoin personally. However, JPMorgan Chase, the bank he leads, is involved with Blackrock’s Bitcoin ETF.

🚫 Personal Dislike, Professional Involvement

Dimon has expressed his opposition to Bitcoin publicly. He doesn’t see the purpose of Bitcoin but supports people’s right to invest in it. His personal view doesn’t stop his bank from engaging with Bitcoin due to client interest.

🔄 Social Media Reaction

Dimon’s comments have drawn criticism on social media. Edward Snowden, a privacy advocate, pointed out the irony of Dimon’s position.

🗣️ Ongoing Criticism and Contradictions

Dimon has been a long-time critic of Bitcoin, associating it with negative activities. Despite this, JPMorgan Chase is involved in Blackrock’s Bitcoin ETF.

🛑 Warning Amid Institutional Involvement

Beyond his personal views, Dimon advises against getting involved in Bitcoin, even though he acknowledges his clients’ interest in it.

💡 JPMorgan Analysts’ View

JPMorgan’s analysts predict a drop in Bitcoin’s price to $42,000 after the upcoming Bitcoin halving event in April. They believe the major Ethereum upgrade and the halving event are already factored into the price.

Jamie Dimon’s stance on Bitcoin reflects the ongoing debate within the financial industry as traditional finance and cryptocurrencies intersect. 🌐🔍

Unraveling XRP’s Rise - Factors Behind the Rally

XRP, a digital asset, has seen a significant rise, with an 11.50% increase in the last 24 hours, reaching $0.68 and peaking at $0.74 intraday. This is its highest level since November 2023. Let’s explore the main factors behind this rally.

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

💹 Large Investors and Exchange Withdrawals

XRP’s price surge is linked to large capital movements from crypto exchanges. On March 8, an anonymous entity withdrew 300 million XRP, worth over $187.13 million, from Binance. This suggests that large XRP investors prefer to hold their tokens rather than trade them on exchanges. Data shows an increase in the number of addresses holding over 1 million XRP, indicating the involvement of large investors.

Whale Alert's tweet about massive XRP whale transfers. Source: X

🔄 Shift from Bitcoin

XRP’s price rise coincides with a rebound against Bitcoin, showing a 12% increase in the XRP/BTC pair. This suggests that traders are moving from Bitcoin to altcoins for potential short-term profits. Traders might also be reallocating capital to manage risk, given Bitcoin’s “overbought” status. In contrast, XRP’s daily relative strength index (RSI) remains neutral, indicating a balanced sentiment and potential for further upward movement against Bitcoin.

XRP addresses with a balance of over 1M tokens. Source: Messari

📊 Technical Rebound

From a technical perspective, XRP’s price surge is based on a support area, including an ascending trendline, the 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA), and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement line. This resembles a pattern from November 2023 that led to a 21.25% price rally. The focus now is on closing above the multi-year descending trendline resistance to maintain the uptrend, with a target set at $1. However, a routine pullback from the resistance could result in a 20% drop towards the ascending trendline support near $0.50.

XRP/USD daily price chart.

XRP/USD weekly price chart.

In this complex interplay of technical indicators and market dynamics, XRP’s surge underscores the nuanced interaction of large investor activities, capital shifts, and technical rebounds, shaping its current trajectory. 🚀💡

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Stay tuned for more twists and turns in the crypto world & Happy Investing🚀💎