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Bitcoin stuck below 90K as fear and bold targets collide

Bitcoin trades in a tight range under 90,000 dollars while bears talk crashes and bulls talk new highs. You need to watch levels, macro data, and big holders, not headlines.

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Range fight at 90K, macro week in play

Bitcoin sits in a range near 90,000 dollars as traders wait for macro data and a clear break.

  • [Range levels]: Key zones sit near 80,000 and 99,000 dollars, with strong liquidity around 95,000 dollars.

  • [Macro data]: CPI and unemployment numbers arrive this week and shape your short term risk.

  • [Spec washout]: Short term holders sell at a loss, SOPR ratio drops to levels last seen before the 2023 bull run.

“Short term pain often clears weak hands and prepares the next move higher,” CryptoQuant analyst NovAnalytica said.

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Saylor lines up next buy as Japan spooks traders

Bitcoin dipped to 87,600 dollars on Sunday then bounced, while Strategy chair Michael Saylor hinted at fresh accumulation.

  • [Strategy stack]: Strategy holds around 660,624 BTC, worth about 58.5 billion dollars, with an average entry near 74,696 dollars.

  • [BOJ fear]: Traders watch a 0.25 percent rate hike from the Bank of Japan and fear another carry trade unwind into crypto.

  • [Range view]: Analysts expect range trading between 80,000 and 100,000 dollars while markets wait for a real catalyst.

“Rate expectations in Japan scare macro funds, so some prefer to lock gains early,” Justin d’Anethan said.

Peter Brandt sees broken parabola, targets 25K crash

Veteran trader Peter Brandt says the long term Bitcoin parabola failed and warns of an 80 percent drawdown.

  • [Slowing cycles]: Brandt notes early cycles showed 100x, 50x, 20x, then 10x returns, so he expects weaker upside from here.

  • [Crash template]: Past breaks of the parabolic curve led to drops near 80 percent, such as 20,000 dollars down to 3,200 dollars in 2018.

  • [Target math]: An 80 percent drawdown from the 126,200 dollar high points to roughly 25,240 dollars.

“Bitcoin growth decays over time and parabolas do not last forever,” Brandt said.

Samson Mow says everyone wants your Bitcoin

Samson Mow argues fear is engineered to push weaker holders to sell while ETFs and institutions increase exposure.

  • [Range pressure]: Price trades between roughly 85,000 and 93,000 dollars after a string of lower highs since the 125,000 dollar peak.

  • [Trigger levels]: Daily closes above 93,700 dollars open a path toward 100,000 dollars, while a drop toward 82,000 dollars often brings long term buyers back.

  • [Ownership focus]: Mow stresses growing ETF and balance sheet demand reduces available supply, so your own stack matters more than short term swings.

“Everyone wants your Bitcoin because available supply keeps shrinking,” Mow said.

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🚀Stay sharp. The path to $150K won't be linear🚀

This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results