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Bitcoin Eyes $125K by June as Traders Bet on Upside

Bitcoin remains below $100K, but analysts at Derive see a 44% chance of it reaching $125K by June. Market sentiment remains neutral as traders navigate current volatility.

• Main Points:

  • BTC Forecast: Derive's Dr. Sean Dawson raises Bitcoin’s probability of hitting $125K to 44%.

  • Limited Downside: The likelihood of Bitcoin dropping to $75K has decreased to 12%.

  • Market Choppiness: Analysts say Bitcoin must reclaim $100K for stability.

  • Long-Term Outlook: VanEck projects a $180K Bitcoin peak by late 2025.

• Detailed Insights:

  • Bitcoin Stagnation: BTC has stayed under $100K for seven days, currently at $96,790.

  • Derive’s Prediction: The $125K target probability increased from 41.9% to 44.4%.

  • Arthur Hayes' View: Expects a potential drop to $70K-$75K, warning of a “mini financial crisis.”

  • Historical Comparison: BTC last hit $75K after the U.S. election, fueling a rally to $100K.

  • Market Sentiment: The Crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 48 (“Neutral”), indicating indecisiveness.

  • VanEck’s Projection: Bitcoin could reach $180K and Ethereum above $6K by 2025’s end.

Traders remain watchful as Bitcoin hovers near critical levels—will it break out or dip further?

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Dogecoin Rallies on ETF Hopes and Bullish Technicals

DOGE surged 7.5% amid growing ETF speculation and bullish technical signals. Traders see potential for further gains, with some eyeing $1.

• Main Points:

  • ETF Buzz: SEC acknowledges Dogecoin ETF filings, triggering optimism.

  • Market Sentiment: Risk-on environment supports DOGE and broader crypto.

  • Whale Activity: Large holders are accumulating DOGE in 2025.

  • Bullish Pattern: DOGE breaks ascending triangle, hinting at further upside.

• Detailed Insights:

  • ETF Recognition: SEC's acknowledgment is the first step toward a Dogecoin ETF decision by October 2025.

  • Trader Optimism: Polymarket assigns a 66% chance of DOGE ETF approval by December 2025.

  • Macroeconomic Boost: Easing tariff fears and strong stock performance fuel risk appetite.

  • Whale Accumulation: Addresses holding 1M+ DOGE have increased holdings since January.

  • Technical Breakout: DOGE surpassed $0.269 resistance, targeting $0.3107 based on an ascending triangle pattern.

With momentum building, will Dogecoin continue its climb toward $1?

Bitcoin Scarcity Rises as Trump Pushes BTC Strategy

With over 95% of Bitcoin mined and U.S. President Trump backing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, demand is set to surge. Institutions and whales continue accumulating, fueling expectations of a bullish February.

• Main Points:

  • Bitcoin Supply Squeeze: Exchange supply down 15% since November, easing selling pressure.

  • Trump’s BTC Push: U.S. considering a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, boosting demand.

  • Institutional Adoption: Bitcoin Layer 2 growth attracts major investors.

  • Whale Accumulation: Retail selling while large holders increase BTC holdings.

  • Price Outlook: Analysts eye $100K resistance, potential retest of all-time highs.

• Detailed Insights:

  • Bitcoin Exchange Outflow: BTC held off exchanges has grown from 17.99M to 18.3M, reducing sell pressure.

  • Trump’s Crypto Stance: The administration holds ~200K BTC, with discussions on a long-term reserve strategy.

  • Layer 2 Expansion: BTCFi and Layer 2 solutions gaining traction, increasing BTC’s utility.

  • Whale Strategy: Large investors are holding, while retail capitulation suggests bullish long-term momentum.

  • Market Forecast: Technicals suggest a retest of the all-time high ($109,588), with key resistance at $100K.

With institutional interest growing and supply shrinking, could Bitcoin hit new highs soon?

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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results