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Bitcoin's Phoenix-like Rise: Key Signals to Watch

Bitcoin faces short-term bearish indicators, but signs of accumulation and reduced selling pressure suggest potential recovery. Traders should weigh risks carefully before entering above $92,000.

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Bitcoin Needs 'Sharp Bounce' at $88K Amid Market Echoes of COVID-19 Crash

U.S. DOJ to Sell $6.5 Billion in Bitcoin from Silk Road Seizure

Bitcoin's Phoenix-like Rise: Key Signals to Watch

Bitcoin Needs 'Sharp Bounce' at $88K Amid Market Echoes of COVID-19 Crash

Bitcoin faces critical support at $88,000 after a volatile week shaped by US employment data. Analysts see echoes of the COVID-19 crash but anticipate a possible rebound.

  • Main Points:

    • Bearish Overreaction: Bitcoin dropped below $92,000 following strong US jobs data, sparking market volatility.

    • S&P 500 Connection: Stock market behavior mirrored March 2020’s COVID-19 crash, hinting at potential recovery.

    • Critical Support: Analysts emphasize the importance of a sharp rebound at $88,000 to avoid extended declines.

    • Market Sentiment: Low Fed rate cut probabilities and bullish employment data fuel uncertainty about market direction.

    • Bitcoin’s long-term recovery depends on stabilizing above key support levels.

  • Detailed Insights:

    • Volatility Amid Employment Data: Bitcoin experienced a $2,000 rebound after briefly dropping below $92,000 but remains under $95,000. US employment data triggered mixed reactions, with markets adjusting to expectations of higher interest rates.

    • Parallels with 2020 Crash: Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments noted similarities with the March 2020 crash. High intraday put-call ratios and a sharp decline in unemployment may signal potential recovery.

    • Fed Rate Speculation: CME’s FedWatch Tool shows low probability (6.4%) of a January rate cut, increasing uncertainty about Federal Reserve policy.

    • Analyst Commentary: Michaël van de Poppe predicts upward trends in Bitcoin and altcoins within the next two weeks, driven by stabilization in yields and the treasury market.

    • Support and Recovery: Popular analytics account Bitcoindata21 stresses that Bitcoin must hold $88,000 and recover sharply to maintain bullish momentum. A failure to do so could deepen the downtrend.

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U.S. DOJ to Sell $6.5 Billion in Bitcoin from Silk Road Seizure

The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) plans to sell 69,370 BTC, valued at $6.5 billion, seized from the Silk Road marketplace. The decision, finalized after a court ruling, raises concerns about potential market impact while offering strategic opportunities for investors.

  • Main Points:

    • Bitcoin Seizure Sale: DOJ authorized to liquidate 69,370 BTC following a court ruling resolving ownership disputes.

    • Market Impact Fears: The crypto community worries about potential price drops due to the large sale.

    • Market Resilience: Experts highlight crypto's capacity to absorb high-value transactions, minimizing disruption.

    • Opportunity for Investors: President Bukele hints at potential buying opportunities amid volatility.

  • Detailed Insights:

    • DOJ Seizes Full Ownership: Court resolved disputes with Battle Born Investments, granting DOJ authority over Silk Road’s BTC.

    • Price Volatility Concerns: Rapid liquidation could trigger temporary dips, alarming traders.

    • Expert Reassurance: CEO of CryptoQuant notes that the market handled $379B inflows in 2024, projecting smooth absorption of sales.

    • BitMEX Scrutiny: U.S. DOJ reexamines compliance violations, emphasizing the need for robust AML practices in crypto exchanges.

₿itcoin reached $94,371. +0.18%

♢Ethereum reached $3,269.  +1.08%

Bitcoin's Phoenix-like Rise: Key Signals to Watch

Bitcoin faces short-term bearish indicators, but signs of accumulation and reduced selling pressure suggest potential recovery. Traders should weigh risks carefully before entering above $92,000.

  • Main Points:

    • Market Fear Dominates: BTC remains below $100K, sparking concerns of a potential downtrend.

    • Negative MVRV Ratios: Both Bitcoin and Ethereum short-term holders are at a loss, hinting at a buying opportunity.

    • Accumulation Increases: On-chain metrics show rising 180-day mean coin age for BTC and ETH.

    • Open Interest Decline: Speculative interest has dipped, signaling short-term bearish sentiment.

  • Detailed Insights:

    • Bearish Sentiment Persists: Bitcoin’s price has faced its third rejection at $100K, fueling fear and speculation about a bear market. Social sentiment analysis indicates strong crowd selling activity, last seen before BTC’s recovery to $108.3K in December.

    • MVRV Ratios Signal Opportunity: The 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratios for BTC and ETH are negative, showing short-term holders are experiencing losses. Historically, such conditions often precede market rebounds.

    • Rising Accumulation: The 180-day mean coin age for BTC and ETH has increased over the past three weeks, suggesting accumulation among holders and reduced sell pressure.

    • Open Interest Declines: BTC Open Interest has dropped from $13.7 billion in mid-December to $11.72 billion, indicating waning speculative interest. This decline aligns with bearish short-term market expectations.

    • Potential Recovery Catalysts: A liquidity sweep below $92K or external factors, such as the “Trump pump” post-inauguration, could spark a recovery. Traders should monitor these events closely.

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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results