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Bitcoin’s 75% Chance of Hitting New Highs in 2025
Analyst Timothy Peterson predicts Bitcoin has a 75% probability of setting new highs in the next nine months.
Joe G & Money Talks
March 26, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes
What we will talk about today...
Bitcoin & Ethereum Struggle: Worst Q1 in Years?
Bitcoin’s 75% Chance of Hitting New Highs in 2025
GameStop’s Bitcoin Pivot Draws Mixed Reactions
Bitcoin and Ethereum are set for their worst first quarter in years, with no major rally expected before March 31.
Main Points:
BTC Down 6.49%, ETH Down 37.98%: Worst Q1 since 2020 and 2018, respectively.
No Immediate Rebound Expected: Analysts predict Bitcoin’s next rally by late April.
Market Uncertainty: Trump’s tariffs and macroeconomic factors weigh on sentiment.
Detailed Insights:
Historical Trends: Q1 is typically strong for ETH, but 2025 is an exception.
ETH/BTC Ratio Hits 4-Year Low: Signaling Ethereum’s relative weakness.
Crypto Market Cap Down 11.65%: Broader downturn continues.
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Bitcoin’s 75% Chance of Hitting New Highs in 2025
Analyst Timothy Peterson predicts Bitcoin has a 75% probability of setting new highs in the next nine months.
Amazingly Bitcoin is tracking right along that lower bound. History repeats.
The way to interpret this chart is there is a 75% chance that Bitcoin will go higher from here, since its at the bottom 25% threshold. There is a 50% chance it will gain 50%+ in the short term.
— Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue)
10:31 PM • Mar 24, 2025
Main Points:
Historical Data Supports Rally: Bitcoin’s position aligns with past bullish trends.
Key Months for Growth: April and October historically yield 12.98% and 21.98% gains.
Critical Support Levels: $84K–$85K range is a key liquidity zone for investors.
Detailed Insights:
Bitcoin’s Seasonality: Past data suggests strong short-term upside potential.
On-Chain Signals: Short-term whale cost basis sits at $91K.
Psychological Price Zones: A dip below $84K could trigger selling pressure.
₿itcoin reached $88,175. +0.95%
♢Ethereum reached $2,072. +0.07%
GameStop’s move to adopt Bitcoin as a reserve asset sparks debate, with some seeing it as a bold step and others dismissing it as a desperation play.
More than a year ago, I made the claim (semi in jest) that zombie companies like Gamestop 'pulling a Saylor' as a get out of jail card would be a clear topping signal.
I also said the same about pubco miners, who incinerate capital as a business.
TBC how that thesis ages.
— _Checkmate 🟠🔑⚡☢️🛢️ (@_Checkmatey_)
9:00 PM • Mar 25, 2025
If you're a public company that can't figure out a business model, buy bitcoin! 😂😂😂
This might actually be great advice if @saylor is gonna buy $1T in bitcoin
— @jason (@Jason)
1:01 AM • Mar 26, 2025
Main Points:
Investor Skepticism: Jason Calacanis mocks GameStop’s Bitcoin strategy.
Market Reaction: GameStop stock rose after-hours, but Bitcoin remained unaffected.
Diverging Opinions: Michael Saylor calls it a "step in the right direction," while analysts remain unconvinced.
Detailed Insights:
Angel Investor's Take: Calacanis likens Bitcoin adoption to a failing business model.
Corporate Adoption Struggles: Big firms are not rushing into Bitcoin strategies.
GameStop’s Position: With $4.6B in cash and an $11B market cap, it’s not struggling financially.
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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results