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Bitcoin faces year end stress, while whales and macro traders eye rebound
Bitcoin holds near 86,000 dollars after sharp swings. Options expiry, Fed signals, and high profile bulls set up a volatile path into 2026.
Joe G & Money Talks
December 18, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes
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What we will talk about today...
Quad Witching Warning, Bitcoin Crash Risk Rises
Bitcoin Holds 86k As Trump Teases Aggressive Rate Cuts
Tom Lee Says Bitcoin Is Extremely Oversold
Samson Mow Dumps ETH, Goes Full Bitcoin
A major options expiry hits tomorrow. Past quad witching dates lined up with sharp Bitcoin drops.
[Past drops]: March saw minus 16.6 percent, June minus 8.5 percent, September minus 7.9 percent, all near quad witching.
[Current setup]: Price trades below key averages and momentum looks weak, so forced selling hits harder.
[Dealer flows]: Options gamma and dealer hedging often drain liquidity and chase stops around large strike clusters.
Quad witching does not create a trend, Arman Shirinyan said. The event accelerates the move already in place.
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Bitcoin Holds 86k As Trump Teases Aggressive Rate Cuts
Price trades near 86,600 dollars after a spike to 90,000 and a swift drop. Traders watch thin liquidity and Fed politics.
[Choppy range]: BTC swings between 85,000 and 90,000 dollars, with leverage reset and flows cooling.
[Key level]: Analysts flag 81,000 dollars as True Market Mean, a break below this zone raises winter risk.
[Trump signal]: Trump says the next Fed Chair favors much lower rates, which supports long term liquidity hopes.
I will soon announce our next chairman of the Federal Reserve, someone who believes in lower interest rates by a lot, Trump said. Early in the new year, you will see this.
Tom Lee Says Bitcoin Is Extremely Oversold
Bitcoin trades between 85,000 and 94,000 dollars with RSI under 30. Tom Lee and other bulls expect a rebound into 2026.
[RSI setup]: Past cycles with RSI below 30 often saw average gains near 25 percent within 60 days.
[Target path]: Julien Bittel maps a path toward 110,000 dollars by mid 2026 if liquidity for risk assets improves.
[Whale flows]: Large transfers to exchanges add short term fear and keep traders focused on the 85,000 dollar support.
Bitcoin feels extremely oversold, Tom Lee said. Prior cycles with this type of RSI level ended with strong rebounds.
Samson Mow Dumps ETH, Goes Full Bitcoin
Samson Mow sells Bitmine Ethereum holdings and moves treasury funds to Bitcoin only. The shift highlights rising conviction in BTC as main store of value.
[Treasury pivot]: Mow confirms a Bitcoin only treasury plan with full liquidation of Bitmine ETH.
[ETH impact]: Bitmine holds around 3.2 percent of ETH supply, large sales from such a holder tend to pressure price and sentiment.
[BTC outlook]: Mow points to December 26 options expiry as a possible bullish trigger and repeats a 1,000,000 dollar target for 2026.
I have decided to liquidate all Bitmine Ethereum holdings and move to a Bitcoin only treasury strategy, Mow said. Watch December 26 and the 2026 run toward 1,000,000 dollars.
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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results