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Bitcoin Decline Mirrors 2016 Bull Run Start

Bitcoin’s recent decline shows similarities to the 2016 post-halving dip before the 2017 bull run, says Peter Brandt.

What we will talk about today...

Bitcoin Decline Mirrors 2016 Bull Run Start

Elon Musk’s Cryptic Tweet Fuels Bitcoin Speculation Amid Market Crash

Bitcoin Staging a Rally Post-Bear Market Turbulence?

Bitcoin Decline Mirrors 2016 Bull Run Start

Bitcoin’s recent decline shows similarities to the 2016 post-halving dip before the 2017 bull run, says Peter Brandt.

  • Main Points:

    • Historical Comparison: Bitcoin's current decline mirrors the 2016 post-halving.

    • Market Movements: 2016 saw a 27% drop before a significant surge.

    • Recent Trends: The recent drop is 26% from the post-halving peak.

    • Analyst Warnings: Potential for further declines, but recovery signs are present.

    • Expert Insights: Rapid recovery similar to 2020 is possible.

  • Detailed Insights:

    • Historical Comparison: Veteran trader Peter Brandt notes that Bitcoin’s decline since the April 2024 halving is similar to the 2016 halving period, which led to the 2017 bull run.

    • Market Movements: In 2016, Bitcoin halved on July 9, falling 27% from $650 to $474 before skyrocketing to $20,000 in December 2017.

    • Recent Trends: Bitcoin’s recent slump below $50,000 represents a 26% decline from the post-halving price of $64,962.

    • Analyst Warnings: Some analysts warn of potential further declines. On August 5, Bitcoin dropped to $49,221, but signs of recovery were noted as it reclaimed $56,000 by August 6.

    • Expert Insights: ITC Crypto founder Benjamin Cowen and Chirp CEO Tim Kravchunovsky suggest a pattern mirroring 2019 and the possibility of a swift recovery, as seen in 2020, due to macroeconomic factors.

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Elon Musk’s Cryptic Tweet Fuels Bitcoin Speculation Amid Market Crash

Elon Musk’s recent meme on social media has sparked speculation about his involvement with Bitcoin during a market crash.

  • Main Points:

    • Elon Musk’s Meme: Shared cryptic message suggesting tough times ahead.

    • Willy Woo’s Speculation: Implies Musk might be buying Bitcoin.

    • Bitcoin’s Drop: Fell over 18%, causing investor alarm.

    • Market Reaction: Bearish trends and cautious traders.

    • Future Implications: Musk’s actions could influence the market.

  • Detailed Insights:

    • Elon Musk’s Meme: Musk shared a meme with the phrase, “Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. Weak men create hard times,” with “You are here” next to “weak men and hard times.”

    • Willy Woo’s Speculation: Prominent trader Willy Woo suggested Musk might be “stacking Bitcoin,” adding to the speculation, although Musk remained silent.

    • Bitcoin’s Drop: Bitcoin dropped from $61,000 to $49,670, recovering slightly to $52,600, marking an 18% drop in 24 hours.

    • Market Reaction: Bitcoin has lost 25.5% over a few days, falling from $70,000, with the market turning bearish.

    • Future Implications: The crypto community is on edge, watching Musk and other influencers for market direction.

₿itcoin reached $55,148. +6.84%

♢Ethereum reached $2,453.  +7.89%

Bitcoin Staging a Rally Post-Bear Market Turbulence?

Bitcoin recovers to $55.7K after significant losses, sparking debate on market direction.

  • Main Points:

    • Recovery: Bitcoin rebounds to $55.7K, recovering two-thirds of recent losses.

    • Market Capitalization: The crypto market cap is up 11.3% in 24 hours, still down 17% over seven days.

    • Technical Indicators: RSI movement and 50-week moving average bounce noted.

    • Volatility Concerns: Potential for continued selloffs despite recent gains.

    • Crypto Investments: Significant outflows from crypto funds and ETFs.

  • Detailed Insights:

    • Recovery: Bitcoin trading at $55.7K in the European session, up from a low of $49K, showing signs of recovery.

    • Market Capitalization: Crypto market capitalization reached $1.98 trillion, up 11.3% in 24 hours, but still down 17% over the week.

    • Technical Indicators: RSI attempts to move out of the oversold zone, touching the 50-week moving average, indicating potential bullish signals.

    • Volatility Concerns: Pessimists point to previous volatility spikes leading to long selloffs, suggesting caution.

    • Crypto Investments: CoinShares reports a $528M outflow from crypto funds, including $400M from Bitcoin and $146M from Ethereum.

    • Liquidations: Coinglass data shows $1.10 billion in liquidations on August 5, with $813 million from long positions.

    • Market Commentary: Michael van de Poppe suggests the day could define a crisis start or a V-shaped recovery.

    • Market Maker Influence: Jump Crypto's large wETH sale on Lido may have contributed to the market dump.

    • Political Insight: Donald Trump suggests Bitcoin could help address the US national debt, now over $35 trillion.

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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results