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Bitcoin and XRP drive crypto markets as ETFs, Fed policy, and government shutdown fuel volatility

Bitcoin flirts with $120K while RSI signals a pullback. XRP builds momentum ahead of possible ETF approvals. Traders weigh Fed rate cuts, ETF inflows, and US shutdown risks.

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Joe G & Money Talks
October 02, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

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What we will talk about today...

Bitcoin hits $119.5K but RSI warns of pullback

XRP sets up for October rally

Uptober lifts Bitcoin to 7-week high

Bitcoin rallies as US shutdown begins

Bitcoin hits $119.5K but RSI warns of pullback

Bitcoin surged near $120K, but technical signals point to cooling.

  • RSI overbought: Four-hour RSI hit 90/100, the highest since July.

  • ETF inflows strong: $1.6 billion entered US spot Bitcoin ETFs in three days.

  • IBIT milestone: BlackRock’s ETF entered the top 20 by assets.

“Everything is overbought but no signs of initial weakness. Simple breakout and retest.” – Trader Roman

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XRP sets up for October rally

XRP holds $2.80 support, setting up a bullish October fueled by ETF deadlines.

  • Strong base: Nearly 4.3 billion XRP bought between $2.75–$2.80.

  • Bullish breakout: A move above $3.00 could target $3.66.

  • ETF catalyst: SEC deadlines for spot XRP ETFs fall mid to late October.

“This compression is setting up for a decisive move.” – Alpha Crypto Signal analysts

Uptober lifts Bitcoin to 7-week high

Bitcoin jumped 4% to $119,450, breaking resistance as October’s bullish history continues.

  • Fed pressure: Weak labor data points to more US rate cuts.

  • Market surge: Crypto market cap rose 3.5% to $4.16 trillion.

  • Altcoin lift: ETH, SOL, DOGE, and others gained 5–6%.

“As traditional economic indicators weaken, Bitcoin’s rally past $118,000 demonstrates its sensitivity to monetary policy.” – Nick Ruck, LVRG Research

Bitcoin rallies as US shutdown begins

BTC gained on safe-haven demand as the US entered a federal shutdown.

  • Treasury yields down: Investors moved into safer assets like bonds and gold.

  • ETF inflows high: Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $430 million in new inflows.

  • History warns: Bitcoin fell 9% during the 2018 shutdown.

“Current conditions suggest the government shutdown could prove favorable for Bitcoin over the next 30 days.”

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This article is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results